166 NOW KILLED AT LEH.TOLL INCREASING

The toll of the dead at leh has now risen to 166 with 400 missing

23 foreigners lost their lives in the flash flood

Three french,one Italian and person from Spandrid were killed

Three French citizens — Augavelis Henri, Hellot Jacques and Daniel Hauri, an Italian identified as Riccardo Titton and Maromas Maria Lousdes from Spain have been declared dead, they said.

Sixteen of those killed are from Nepal, namely Nema Zangmo, Tsering Neklal, Bakta Bahadur, Kama Lama, Ajay Raina, Khunchok Gelak, Lakpa Gyalmo, Shekhar, Mahurdin Ansari, Manee Patel, Ramesh Patel, Narai Badur Sume, Santosh Kumar, Nel Badur, Saryanareyan Chaudhary and Anil Chaudhary, they said.

Two other victims were Tibetans. They were identified as Pasang Tsering and Tsering Yangkyid, the sources said.

LEH-SRINAGAR ROAD-- CLOSED

LEH-MANALI ROAD -- CLOSED

The flight operations are on a full swing

The list of those who have died is put on-

leh.nic.in

Coronal Mass Ejection from 1093 sunspot now heading towards the earth

I have started receiving confirmations from the datas of Solar and Heliospheric observatory(SOHO) that a Coronal Mass ejection or CME which was ejected from Sun on August 7 2010 evening is heading towards the earth and will strike the earth on 10th August 2010

There was a slight disturbance in the planetary index on early August 9 which proved to be arrival of some early part of it after unsettled 2MeV electron flux exceeding 1000pfu

On August 10, the pfu also exceeded the 1000 pfu value and as a result of the images of CME heading towards earth and those datas, a Geomagnetic K index of 4 is being expected

This geomagnetic storm is not expected to be a big one but I am amazed to see that it can be bigger than expected.This one is likely going to affect the magnetic field of the earth on 10th August and will cause Brilliant auroras in the high latitude areas.

The NOAA scale is 30% chance of active geomagnetic storm in high latituded and a 25% in mid latitudes.So I think Auroras can be seen in polar regions, and in the 55 degree zones also!

The Sunspot 1093 is right now facing the earth, but I don't find another chance of eruption from it

However the sunspot 1096 is becoming active a low class flare will be possible as magnetic fields are unsettled there.

MY FORECAST-(ON EXPERIMENTAL BASIS SINCE I HAVE JUST STARTED FORECASTING)

A PARTIAL GEOMAGNETIC STORM WILL HIT THE EARTH ON AUGUST 10.

A NEAR G1 GEOMAGNETIC STORM WILL HIT. BUT KP SEEMS TO BE SETTING AT 4-5

AURORAL DISPLAY IS LIKELY IN HIGH LATITUDES