IMF turning Southwards, Strong Geomagnetic Storming favored!

SEVERE SOLARWX

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The Strong Geomagnetic Impulse i.e CME striking the Earth didn't produce a much elevated storming as was expected as the Inter-planetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was at North polarity. A much of annihilation to the CME impact is caused by Northward IMF polarity which opposes the Geomagnetic Storming. However as the IMF's Bz vector turns southward, the surface North to South geomagnetic field of the earth and the opposite oriented IMF reconnects and transfer of energy takes place which enables pouring in of the solar wind,subsequent triggering of Auroras and Geomagnetic Storming. 

Since the total momentum of the impact was high, it can be expected that the ongoing G1 Geomagnetic Storm will elevate to G2 or even G3 depending on the total tenure for which IMF 's Bz vector trips South! 

As seen from the above ACE plot, the second plot from top ( represented in yellow) represents the Bz component of the IMF which when the CME impacted ( See for 11 GMT) elevated to the North! 

The Bz is now nearly 0 or turning Southwards which will improve overall Geomagnetic Activity

Stay tuned for alerts!

Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

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Strong Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse!! Strong CME hits ACE satellite

SEVERE SOLARWX
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

One of the strongest Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse I have ever seen has just hit the ACE spacecraft ( CME hit) and the shockwave will hit the Earth's Magnetic Field very shortly ( about half hour from now)

The deviation produced is 37.7 nT and the Bz 35.6 nT north

The present IMF is in north and hence solar wind might not pour in now!!

We are monitoring the situation LIVE at Severe SolarWX Hq,Nagpur

SIGNIFICANT GEOMAGNETIC STORMING POSSIBLE DUE TO X 5.4 SOLAR FLARE

SEVERE SOLARWX

AKSHAY DEORAS

SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

HISTORIC GEOMAGNETIC STORMING LIKELY. ALERT FOR HYPER-ACTIVE SPACE WEATHER

The Mega Flare of X 5.4 from Sunspot 1429 on 7th March 2012 early period GMT has hurled a very massive Coronal Mass Ejection. In the last post,datas were suspicious about the amount of CME released and coupled with no animation available from SOHO lead to miscalculation. 

Right now it seems that a very major CME is heading towards the Earth. The analyst at Goddard Space Flight Center which also recalculated CME intensity indicate the approaching CME

Considering the intensity of the shockwave ( estimated) the Space Weather Prediction Center estimates a G3 Geomagnetic Storming which Severe Solar WX AGREES WITH IT

If the intensity is really too high then we may even get a G4 Geomagnetic Storm!

The Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse is being expected in the afternoon hours ( GMT) of today,8th March 2012 and the storming shall begin into night hours of today ( 8th March),persisting for tomorrow ( 9th March also)

THUS THIS GEOMAGNETIC STORMING IS GOING TO PROMISE AURORAS FOR MID LATITUDE REGIONS ALSO INCLUDING HIGH LATITUDE AREAS

PEOPLE MUST WATCH OUT FOR THEM!

SOLAR RADIATION STORM UPDATE-

The S3 Solar Radiation Storm is continuing now with more than 12hrs of S3 category. The Proton flux indicates that the the overall proton number per unit area unit time and unit steradian has enhanced to over 1000 protons ( 10^3+) 

The Solar Protons are expected to continue for today ( 8th March also)

Photos of Sunspot 1429

The sunspot 1429 which has become the star of attraction was captured by me today morning from Nagpur,India using an ordinary camera of 14.1 megapixel

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES!!!