SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
The growing Sunspot 1176 is a wide region on the sun having a Beta Gamma Magnetic Classification.
As seen from the datas from Solar Dynamic Observatory, AR 1176 is a Bipolar region but is complex disabling the simple division of their magnetic poles.
The Magnetic Field lines around the sunspot region are already symmetrical as per what was proposed in the paper "Analogy of Sunspot 1158,1164,1166" which can be seen here
However, we can't expect High end flares right now as the sunspot is not that complex when magnetic polarity is considered.
The Region shall gain some complexity and be favorable for High end M class flares to X class flares around 1st April or so.
C class flares to low M class flares shall be coming out from region 1176 by the time.
Space Weather Forecast as per NOAA
NOAA is forecasting a 50% and above chance of M class flares in next 48hr period and 10% for an X class flare
SEVERE SOLARWX Forecast-
There is a chance of M class flare ( Low class upto M5) from sunspot region 1176
(28th Mar-1st April 2011)
As Sunspot becomes Magnetic Complex,
High end M class to X class flares from 1176.
(1st April ONWARDS)
