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Monday, October 18, 2010

Classic M3 class flare from sunspot 1112 on 16th Oct 2010

Look at the giant filament
Courtesy- AstroEduca.com

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

(Post has been delayed since I had no time for writing this post on 17th Oct 2010)

Late night hours on 16th Oct 2010,sunspot 1112 hurled many solar flares including a Class M3 flare which was 400,000km long! which happened for the first time since SEVERE SOLARWX started forecastings in Aug 2010

The GOES X-ray flux indicated massive flare at about 1800hrs,GMT on 16th Oct which followed the C class flare emissions.Satellite environment plot started fluctuations after this the Kp index reached 4.

Space Weather Forecast-
The Geomagnetic activity is likely to start again as a Coronal Hole is rotating towards the earth and will become Geo-effective on 18th Oct 2010 late period
Low class flares possible from sunspot 1113,1115 as MDI magnetogram showing opposite charge fields (polarity) around the sunspot
A high speed stream flowing from this coronal hole and another which is near might reach the earth on Oct 19-20 and also some effects from past CME ejection on 14th Oct 2010



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