Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
With less than a year away from the forecasted Solar Maximum of Solar Cycle 24, the sunspot activity has flattened since the beginning of this year. The Sun which was hyper active in terms of its Sunspot Number ( Daily and monthly) is quiet these days with practically few weak ( Magnetically stable configuration). The datas from IPS Solar indicate that the Sunspot no. of January 2012 has been 58.3 as against the predicted 74.8 and 73.0 of December 2011.
Just to remind that the Sunspot no. had reached a peak of 96.7 in Nov 2011 which was far higher than 67.7 predicted.
Below-
The GOES X ray flux between the period Feb 16-19 and Feb 27-present shows flattened X ray output of the sun.
This scenario has been very common since this year!
Seen below is a plot of Solar Activity Level during the period 30th Jan - 28th Feb 2012 indicating Solar Activity level flat at low or very low except for 06th Feb 2012. The below plot considers the overall Solar Flares and CME from the sun.
These are just preliminary datas. I shall write in details around 17th March 2012 considering the new parameters
Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras
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