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Thursday, September 8, 2011

Partial CME heading towards Earth

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

AR 1283 - THE MOST ACTIVE SUNSPOT ON THE EARTH FACING SIDE OF THE SUN


This was the second X class ( X1.8) SOLAR FLARE FROM SUNSPOT 1283 ON 2238 UT,7TH SEPT 2011. 
The event also caused a X ray Blackout of R3 intensity shortly as the X rays caused blackout on the sunlit side of the earth. 


This Solar Flare also released Coronal Mass Ejection which was recorded by STEREO A and can be seen here and also here


Magnetic Fields-
The Sunspot AR 1283 is having symmetric magnetic field lines and has produced two X class flares already
This is according to the paper published by SEVERE SOLARWX where sunspots having symmetric magnetic field lines are capable of producing high end M class to X class flares.




THUS SEVERE SOLARWX HAS 4 STRAIGHT EVIDENCES FOR THE PAPER


CME FORECAST
THE M 5.3 SOLAR FLARE OF 6TH SEPT 2011 HURLED CME TOWARDS THE EARTH WHEN WAS EXACTLY INFRONT OF THE SUNSPOT. THE X 2.1 SOLAR FLARE ALSO HURLED SOME CME BEING SQUARELY DIRECTED AND YESTERDAYS 1.8 JOINING THE GANG. 


IT DOES APPEAR THAT EARTH IS VERY 


ABOVE- 
THE THREE PEAKS ( ONE M CLASS AND TWO X CLASS FLARES) FROM AR 1283 MAKING IT THE MOST ACTIVE SUNSPOT 




LIKELY TO THE PARTIAL CME ON 10TH SEPT LATE NIGHT HOURS ( GMT) 
THE EFFECT SHALL BE MINIMAL WITH LIKELYHOOD OF G1 GEOMAGNETIC STORM AND IF THE IMF TRIPS SOUTHWARD DURING IMPACT, AURORAS SHALL DISPLAY AT HIGHER LATITUDES


STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES 


FOLLOW SEVERE SOLAR WX @ SSW FB





STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES AT

http://www.facebook.com/pages/Severe-Solar-Weather-forecast/112556765473804