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Thursday, September 8, 2011

Partial CME heading towards Earth

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

AR 1283 - THE MOST ACTIVE SUNSPOT ON THE EARTH FACING SIDE OF THE SUN


This was the second X class ( X1.8) SOLAR FLARE FROM SUNSPOT 1283 ON 2238 UT,7TH SEPT 2011. 
The event also caused a X ray Blackout of R3 intensity shortly as the X rays caused blackout on the sunlit side of the earth. 


This Solar Flare also released Coronal Mass Ejection which was recorded by STEREO A and can be seen here and also here


Magnetic Fields-
The Sunspot AR 1283 is having symmetric magnetic field lines and has produced two X class flares already
This is according to the paper published by SEVERE SOLARWX where sunspots having symmetric magnetic field lines are capable of producing high end M class to X class flares.




THUS SEVERE SOLARWX HAS 4 STRAIGHT EVIDENCES FOR THE PAPER


CME FORECAST
THE M 5.3 SOLAR FLARE OF 6TH SEPT 2011 HURLED CME TOWARDS THE EARTH WHEN WAS EXACTLY INFRONT OF THE SUNSPOT. THE X 2.1 SOLAR FLARE ALSO HURLED SOME CME BEING SQUARELY DIRECTED AND YESTERDAYS 1.8 JOINING THE GANG. 


IT DOES APPEAR THAT EARTH IS VERY 


ABOVE- 
THE THREE PEAKS ( ONE M CLASS AND TWO X CLASS FLARES) FROM AR 1283 MAKING IT THE MOST ACTIVE SUNSPOT 




LIKELY TO THE PARTIAL CME ON 10TH SEPT LATE NIGHT HOURS ( GMT) 
THE EFFECT SHALL BE MINIMAL WITH LIKELYHOOD OF G1 GEOMAGNETIC STORM AND IF THE IMF TRIPS SOUTHWARD DURING IMPACT, AURORAS SHALL DISPLAY AT HIGHER LATITUDES


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