NO GEOMAGNETIC STORMING EXPECTED AS MAJOR FORECAST ERRORS APPEARS. FAQ OF WHAT HAPPENED

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

In a very disappointing event, for the first time in last two years of my forecasting, a scenarion like this has happened. The CME of 9th and 10th March has ditched all of the space weather forecasters including Space Weather Prediction Center for two times straight in a row!

The saga is now over and NO GEOMAGNETIC STORMING is expected as the anticipated CME of 10th March 2012 made an appearance in the form of G2 Geomagnetic Storm of 12th March 2012 which began with a Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse at 0843hrs GMT. I would like to clarity the entire scenario in the below FAQ

Q- Is any Geomagnetic Storming expected today (13th March) or tomorrow (14th March) from CME?
A. No, the anticipated CME(s) passed the Earth with the later one (10th March) producing a G2 Geomagnetic Storming on 12th March

Q. What happened with the 9th March CME?
A. The 9th March CME produced a very little deviation in the Magnetometers on 11th March. It produced a very minor (Around 10nT+) deviation at the ACE satellite and 22.1nT at Boulder at the peak

More can be found here -
http://akshaydeoras.blogspot.in/2012/03/mysterious-cme-hits-earth.html

Q. If the CME of 9th March striked on 11th March then why didn't Space Weather Prediction Center mentioned about it?

A. Its very surprising. Perhaps the deviations produced in the magnetic field or IMF were too minor for an alert. They should have done that!

Q. Did the CME of 10th March 2012 arrive BEFORE TIME?
A. Looking at the overall disturbance in the Magnetic field datas from ACE satellite, it appears that the CME arrived earlier than expected. It appeared 12hrs earlier than expected!

More can be found here-
http://akshaydeoras.blogspot.in/2012/03/cme-keeps-waiting-major-geomagnetic.html

Q. Why wasn't it discovered earlier that the G2 Geomagnetic Storm of 12th March was due to 10th March CME?

A. I blame the Space Weather Prediction Center for it. If they had updated about the 9th March CME impact earlier then the chance of revival or turning geo-effective of the 11th Mar CME hit would have been zero. We thought that the 11th March had a CME hit which I mentioned but the effect was negligible. So the G2 storm of 12th March was thought to be an after-effect of 9th Mar CME

This whole led to think that 10th March CME was on the way for 13th Mar collision!

Q. What does this chaos or sage reflect?
A. It reflects the present state of understanding and forecast ability. It challenges our understandings about the travelling of CME,their velocity and overall impact with the Earth

CME KEEPS WAITING! MAJOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM LIKELY TODAY

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The anticipated Coronal Mass Ejection of 10th March 2012 hasn't arrived! The CME which was expected to hit the Earth's magnetic field on night hours ( GMT) of 12th March hasn't reached the earth!

The 9th March CME which had arrived on 11th March producing no effect became "Geoeffective" yesterday which caused a short time G2 Geomagnetic Storm! There was a major debate whether the storming was due to late effects of 9th March CME or early effects of 10th March CME but looking at the datas from ACE satellite and the deflection at Space Weather Prediction Center,Boulder it seems that that was a reviving effect from 9th March event

The above plot from the ACE satellite depicts the geomagnetic sudden impulse of yesterday at around 0843UT which later followed by a Southward Bz produced a G2 storm
Auroras were reported in some parts of Australia,New Zealand with some ground currents in Norway!


Scenario now-
Right now it seems that the wait for the CME will continue for some more time today. SWPC has mentioned that they are expecting a Major Storming today

Here is what they have mentioned. STAY TUNED FOR THE UPDATES AS WE DO EXPECT THE CME TO HIT TODAY

BUT WHEN????

Top News of the Day: 2012-03-12 23:25 UTC  Continued Geomagnetic Storming Possible Continued geomagnetic activity reaching the G3 (Strong) level is possible between now and the end of March 13 as the parade of recent coronal mass ejections affect Earth.  Meanwhile, the Solar Radiation Storm has decreased below the S1 (Minor) threshold and continues a slow decay toward background levels.  Region 1429 remains complex, but is showing signs of weakening.  No significant Radio Blackout events have been observed in the last 36 hours, so no further significant activity is currently expected after March 13

Space Weather Prediction Center finally agrees with Severe SolarWX forecast,Major Geomagnetic Storming likely on 13th March

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

In a high level drama, the Space Weather Prediction Center called off the Geomagnetic Storming probability of 11th March today morning saying that geomagnetic storming conditions don't exist now!

The SPWC had initially expected the 9th March event generated CME to be a significant one causing a G3 level storm. However SSW, mentioned that at the most a G1 level storm will trigger;

However the momentum of CME was so low that it didn't produce any geomagnetic storming!

The Space Weather Prediction Center now has upgraded the chance of SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORMING on 13th March to as high as 60%

They are now expecting a G3 level storm! To err is human in nature so doesn't matter SPWC if the forecast went wrong!

The Forecast models continue to indicate a MAJOR CME heading towards collision! The CME is expected to arrive tonight ( GMT) and causing much of the action on 13th that is tomorrow!

Based on the estimates, Severe SOLARWX expects a MAJOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMING

The Geomagnetic Storm will be reaching a G3 level for sure on 13th March. Also the present S1 solar radiation storm is likely to be boosted as the bunch of elevated energy levels of protons hit the earth's magnetic field.

The IMF Bz polarity seems to be Northward at the geomagnetic sudden impulse and a slow start can be expected to the storming. The polarity will swing once the impulse takes place

The Bz polarity is always a deciding factor which has a very less scale of correct forecast

SEVERE SOLARWX enters print media


Today, Severe SolarWX forecast appeared in a leading Marathi newspaper of Central India i.e Tarun Bharat. The forecast has been for 13th march event. This has been a maiden space weather forecast published in any newspaper here as others are primarily reports. The forecast has been published in Marathi language. 


It can be seen at the top ! 


STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES

Mysterious CME hits the earth?

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

Has the 9th March event CME hit the earth??
The question seems to be coming up as datas from ACE satellite clearly indicates the geomagnetic sudden impulse shortly after 12PM GMT. However the Space Weather Prediction Center has not issued any Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse advisory ? The latest available on their website is

2012-03-11 15:07 UTC  Solar Radiation Storm Declining, Awaiting Geomagnetic Storm

The coronal mass ejection associated with the R2 (Moderate) Radio Blackout that occurred at 0353 UTC March 9 (10:53 p.m. EST March 8) was expected to cause more geomagnetic storming beginning early on March 11, with intensities likely to reach the G3 (Strong) level. That CME hasn’t arrived as early as predicted, so stay tuned for updates as the day progresses. The coronal mass ejection associated with the R2 (Moderate) Radio Blackout event from 1744 UTC March 10 (12:44 p.m. EST March 10) should start to affect Earth late on March 12 to early on March 13, with intensities lower than those observed with the events of last week; forecast specifics are still in work. Meanwhile, the Solar Radiation Storm continues its decay and is currently at the S1 (Minor) level. Region 1429 remains complex, but is showing signs of weakening. Updates here as conditions warrant.

This is surprising! The Magnetometer at Boulder,Colorado shows a strong variation in the H ( Northward ) component and D ( southward) component ( MAGNETIC SOUTH AND NORTH **) 

indicating that there has been an external applied,variational magnetic field which a Solar wind induced CME can generate

Further here is a gist of data available- 

Here you can observe that there is a deflection produced of maximum 22.1nT or K index of 3.1 suggesting a CME hit

Thus SSW CONFIRMS a CME hit! 

The IMF Bz vector initially had a South polarity ( 1600UT) but is turning North and hence again will affect the storming

In all, if a storming is produced then it shall not cross G1 level and definitely not G3 which I wonder why SWPC expects

Nevertheless, the CME of 10th Mar IS ALL SET TO MAKE A POWERFUL IMPACT ON EARLY PERIODS OF 13TH MARCH 2012 RESULTING IN STORMING ON 13,14TH ALSO

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES!!

Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse at ACE spacecraft as 9th March CME arrives

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

As was expected, the CME from 9th March 2012 M class event has arrived at the ACE spacecraft producing a very slow impact ( small deviation). The Impulse data is rising up ( Bt component ) reaching over 10nT

The IMF Bz is northwards now as was expected and hence initially geomagnetic storming is unlikely

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES

Geomagnetic Storming expected today,Major one expected o 12th

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The M 6.3 Solar Flare of 9th Mar 2012 produced a Coronal Mass Ejection which is heading towards the Earth and is expected to land today. The initial estimates suggested that the CME was moving for an indirect collision with the Earth's Magnetosphere due to which the anticipated intensity was being considered as less. However the Space Weather Prediction Center in their recent update mentioned that they are expecting a G3 level storming!

However, the updated model analysis still shows that the momentum of the impact will be less and given the expected Northward polarity of Bz vector of IMF, the Geomagnetic Storming will have a weak start that is a G1 initially.

Moreover, SSW expects the storm to be a G1 or at the most a G2 storm. 

M 8.4 Solar Flare of 10th Mar 2012


On 1715 UT,10th Mar the sunspot 1429 produced a M 8.4 Solar Flare. There was a Major Coronal Mass Ejection associated with the flare easily noted by the STEREO Spacecraft. 


SEE THE VIDEO HERE 

THE CME IS A FAST MOVING CME AND HAS HIGH MOMENTUM. 

THE CME FROM THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE EARTH'S MAGNETIC FIELD ON 12TH MARCH 2012 I.E TOMORROW NIGHT GMT 

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORMING WITH LEVELS EASILY ELEVATING TO G3

MEGA-GEOMAGNETIC STORM

THE EARTH'S MAGNETIC FIELD IN RECENT HAS RECEIVED MULTIPLE SHOCKWAVES DUE TO MANY CME AND IN CONTINUATION IS EXPECTED TO GET A DOUBLE-HIT

THE FIRST CME FROM 9TH MARCH EVENT WILL ARRIVE TODAY WITH STORMING BEGINNING FROM NIGHT GMT AND WILL DECLINE OR CONTINUE TILL 12TH MARCH 2012

AFTER THE EVENT RELAXES, CME FROM 10TH MARCH EVENT WILL HIT BY EVENING OR NIGHT WHICH WILL BE STRONGER THAN THE 9TH MARCH EVENT

THUS A MEGA-GEOMAGNETIC STORMING WILL UNFURL AND AURORAS AGAIN WILL BE SEEN IN THE MID-LATITUDES AND THE POLAR REGIONS

ONGOING SOLAR RADIATION STORM- 

THE HISTORIC SOLAR RADIATION STORM IS FINALLY DECLINING AND IS AT THE S1 LEVEL!

I AM STILL VERIFYING WHETHER THE 10TH MARCH EVENT DID SEND SOME PROTONS OR NOT. IT NORMALLY DOESN'T TAKE SO MUCH TIME FOR PROTONS TO ARRIVE

HOWEVER, AS THE CME FROM M8.4 FLARE ARRIVES, THERE WILL BE AN UPSURGE IN THE PROTON FLUX AND HENCE REVIVING THE SOLAR RADIATION STORM!

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES!!!

Geomagnetic Storm dissipates,Minor Storm expected on 11th Mar 2012

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The anticipated storm of the year produced a classic G3 level Geomagnetic Storm which could have reached the G4 level but the IMF Bz was having Northerly Polarity for a prolonged time spoiling the momentum of CME impact.

The Geomagnetic Storm produced significant auroras in the United States also where people reported them from states like North Dakota,Wisconsin, Minnesota.

The Solar Radiation storm which hit the S3 level is declining and is now at S2 level which may be the Biggest Storm in perhaps last 5 years!


Estimates suggest that the Radiation Storm would be over in around next 24 hours!! 

The Sun Now!

The Sunspot 1429 is decaying now and having stable magnetic orientation. 

It seems that it may not be producing another X class flare however SWPC considers a slight chance. 

The sunspot is still capable of producing Moderate M class flares to low C class flares. 

The overall earth facing side of the Sun has a coronal hole on the extreme eastern side of the Sun from which a solar wind will be flowing when it turns geo-effective. 

There is one interesting sunspot rotating now on the North-eastern limb. This sunspot ( may be named as AR 1431) posses less threat now but may become favorable for producing high end C and even M class flare in the next week onwards..

Approaching CME 

As was mentioned in the previous post, the Solar Flare of March 9 produced a CME which is heading towards the Earth. The WSA-ENLIL model indicates the approaching CME towards the Earth ( seen as a green dot) from the sun ( yellow dot at center). 

The plasma density at the impact which will be around morning of 11th Mar 2012 GMT that is tomorrow shall be around 15/cm^3 with the Radial Velocity of around 700Km/sec. 

The overall momentum from the impact seems to be low at this level and will just sparkel a G1 Geomagnetic Storm. However as seen from the above Goddard Space Flight Center analysis, the IMF Bz polarity seems to be Northwards which will lead to a weak start to the storming and revive when much of CME would have passed. Hence SSW expects a weak G1 Geomagnetic Storm on 11th March and may expect on 12th but with less chance

Severe SolarWX to enter print media!

I am happy to announce that the Severe SolarWX will be making an entry in the print media with the first and exclusive Space Weather Forecasts coming in Newspapers in India. Not seen usually, for the first time people of my hometown Nagpur,India will get to read about the Space Weather events especially forecasts which will be issued in Marathi language. However I will be posting a link for the readers knowing Marathi language who can avail the forecasts through the E-paper 

The forecasts also will be coming in English on The Hitavada newspaper on Tuesdays ( when there is a space weather event) and in Tarun Bharat Paper ( Marathi) language. 

This service is expected to start from around 20th March 2012. 

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES

G3 Geomagnetic Storming in progress,another CME heads towards the Earth

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The anticipated G3 Geomagnetic Storming is in full swing now with the Kp index at Kp=7. As was mentioned in the last post, favored Southward Bz helped the storming.

AURORAS ARE EXPECTED IN MID LATITUDE REGIONS OF BOTH THE HEMISPHERE AS WELL AS POLAR REGIONS. 


PEOPLE CAN SEND THEIR PHOTOS AT akshaydeoras@hotmail.com WHICH WILL BE POSTED ON THE BLOG WITH DUE CREDIT .


The Bz IMF is turning Northwards again and hence the G3 level may be the zenith of the event

Coronal Mass Ejection from AR 1429 on 9th March 2012

As mentioned in the last post, a strong M 6.3 Solar Flare was released from AR 1429 which hurled a Coronal Mass Ejection as seen from the animation captured by the STEREO spacecraft

THE CME IS HEADING TOWARDS THE EARTH! THE FORECAST MODELS ARE ESTIMATING ITS INTENSITY AND TIMINGS BUT MAY REACH THE EARTH ON 10-11TH MARCH 2012


MEANWHILE,THE SOLAR RADIATION STORM HAS DECREASED FROM S3 TO S2 LEVEL


STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES

Sunspot 1429 bangs with a M5 class Solar Flare

SEVERE SOLARWX

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The Hyper-active sunspot region AR 1429 has produced another M5 Solar Flare just a while ago and sent ionospheric disturbance due to X-ray emissions thus causing a R1 Radio Blackout

Stay tuned for updates

Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com

        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras

IMF turning Southwards, Strong Geomagnetic Storming favored!

SEVERE SOLARWX

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The Strong Geomagnetic Impulse i.e CME striking the Earth didn't produce a much elevated storming as was expected as the Inter-planetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was at North polarity. A much of annihilation to the CME impact is caused by Northward IMF polarity which opposes the Geomagnetic Storming. However as the IMF's Bz vector turns southward, the surface North to South geomagnetic field of the earth and the opposite oriented IMF reconnects and transfer of energy takes place which enables pouring in of the solar wind,subsequent triggering of Auroras and Geomagnetic Storming. 

Since the total momentum of the impact was high, it can be expected that the ongoing G1 Geomagnetic Storm will elevate to G2 or even G3 depending on the total tenure for which IMF 's Bz vector trips South! 

As seen from the above ACE plot, the second plot from top ( represented in yellow) represents the Bz component of the IMF which when the CME impacted ( See for 11 GMT) elevated to the North! 

The Bz is now nearly 0 or turning Southwards which will improve overall Geomagnetic Activity

Stay tuned for alerts!

Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com

        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras

Strong Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse!! Strong CME hits ACE satellite

SEVERE SOLARWX
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

One of the strongest Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse I have ever seen has just hit the ACE spacecraft ( CME hit) and the shockwave will hit the Earth's Magnetic Field very shortly ( about half hour from now)

The deviation produced is 37.7 nT and the Bz 35.6 nT north

The present IMF is in north and hence solar wind might not pour in now!!

We are monitoring the situation LIVE at Severe SolarWX Hq,Nagpur

SIGNIFICANT GEOMAGNETIC STORMING POSSIBLE DUE TO X 5.4 SOLAR FLARE

SEVERE SOLARWX

AKSHAY DEORAS

SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

HISTORIC GEOMAGNETIC STORMING LIKELY. ALERT FOR HYPER-ACTIVE SPACE WEATHER

The Mega Flare of X 5.4 from Sunspot 1429 on 7th March 2012 early period GMT has hurled a very massive Coronal Mass Ejection. In the last post,datas were suspicious about the amount of CME released and coupled with no animation available from SOHO lead to miscalculation. 

Right now it seems that a very major CME is heading towards the Earth. The analyst at Goddard Space Flight Center which also recalculated CME intensity indicate the approaching CME

Considering the intensity of the shockwave ( estimated) the Space Weather Prediction Center estimates a G3 Geomagnetic Storming which Severe Solar WX AGREES WITH IT

If the intensity is really too high then we may even get a G4 Geomagnetic Storm!

The Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse is being expected in the afternoon hours ( GMT) of today,8th March 2012 and the storming shall begin into night hours of today ( 8th March),persisting for tomorrow ( 9th March also)

THUS THIS GEOMAGNETIC STORMING IS GOING TO PROMISE AURORAS FOR MID LATITUDE REGIONS ALSO INCLUDING HIGH LATITUDE AREAS

PEOPLE MUST WATCH OUT FOR THEM!

SOLAR RADIATION STORM UPDATE-

The S3 Solar Radiation Storm is continuing now with more than 12hrs of S3 category. The Proton flux indicates that the the overall proton number per unit area unit time and unit steradian has enhanced to over 1000 protons ( 10^3+) 

The Solar Protons are expected to continue for today ( 8th March also)

Photos of Sunspot 1429

The sunspot 1429 which has become the star of attraction was captured by me today morning from Nagpur,India using an ordinary camera of 14.1 megapixel

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES!!!

Solar Radiation Storm Reaches S3

SEVERE SOLARWX
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

As was expected by me just a short while ago,the solar radiation storm has reached a classic S3 level.
The S3 level Radiation Storm has potential effect such as Biological Hazards like increased radiation exposure to people in high altitude and latitude aircrafts etc..

Stay tuned for updates

Hyperactivity on the Sun!

SEVERE SOLARWX
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The Hyper-active Sunspot 1429 has hurled another Very Major Solar Flare X 5.4 shortly after 12AM GMT,7th March 2012



The X5.4 Solar Flare emission took place beginning at 0002UTC reaching peak 0024UTC and ending at 0040UTC!

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center also mentioned a X1.3 Solar Flare shortly after the X 5.4 at 0120UTC.Thus TWO STRAIGHT HIGH END SOLAR FLARES

The X-ray flux reported a sharp peak shortly after 12AM or 0000UTC.

After the solar flare got released, a R3 Radio Blackout was experienced on the sunlit side of the earth which affected largely the High frequency communication as can be seen from the above image of D-RAP

CORONAL MASS EJECTION- 
Its generally associated with such high class Solar Flares. The datas from STEREO spacecraft are indicating that there has been a MODERATE Coronal Mass Ejection released from this region after the Solar Flare was emitted. 


Though its for the first time in so many years that on Visual observation, it does appear that not a significant CME was hurled after the flare. Even the analyst at Goddard Space Flight Center predicting not a major CME release from it which supports my visual observation through datas for STEREO. 




Here is below what the models are indicating about-

The CME hence shall give a minor blow to the Earth on late period of 9th March 2012 into morning hours of 10th March 2012 GMT.. I don't expect a significant storming from it

Meanwhile, the reports from previous activities of the Sun have appeared today in the form of a G2 Geomagnetic Storm ( MODERATE) due to March 4 2012 M class flare from the sun with the KP index reaching as 6

SOLAR RADIATION STORM 


The X 5.4 Solar Flare from today's early morning flare also gave a significant boost to the protons which got elevated in terms of their energies and hence a Solar Radiation Storm of S2 intensity has been set. The datas from the Proton Flux are depicting an increasing trend and hence a high end S2 Solar Radiation Storm which is being witnessed now shall continue for a more while!




Forecast-


More X class and M class Solar Flares are expected from the region 1429 which is over 4 times the size of the earth. 


The space weather is expected to be ACTIVE mainly Solar Radiation Storm and Geomagnetic Storm 


ALERT_ 
Sunspot 1429 is turing GEO-EFFECTIVE AND HENCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE EARTH's Space Weather significantly!

Sub surface Fault

Sub surface fault is a fault located beneath a surface, invisible to people above. While conventional fault is easily detectable by seeing difference in rock type, or displacement over placemarks like fence, road, or cracks at wall, sub surface fault is hard to detect. A subsurface fault might be a fault which is active, but its presence is covered by a layer of sediments / rock of same type - so any displacement made by the fault is 'seems to be invisible'. One way to detect a subsurface fault is by doing a research over seismic data; I mean, firstly we should have a data of earthquake occurence around our area of interest. Then we do a more comprehensive geophysical survey like raw seismic data processing with computer programs. Then we can correllate the result of data processing to the shape of fault and even how it's moving. Another try to know how is the subsurface fault looks like is by doing geoelectrical survey or seismic survey, but it's unlikely to be success if it done in / near a densely populated area.

Conventional fault, Bordeaux, France (wikipedia)

Subsurface fault in Iraq, near Tigris river. This fault is invisible to people above because it is covered with Tigris river's deposits. The corresponding geoelectrical pseudo-resistivity is shown below. These data are obtained after Nabeel Hameed Al Saigh in this paper. We could see that the densest contour is corresponding to change in rock type and thus it may be concluded that there is faulting activity there.

In the case of Haryana earthquake, I really have no idea how the fault is moving. But by seeing the geological map of India, the case seems like that of Tigris River: A subsurface fault covered by Yamuna river deposits has triggered 5.5 M earthquake. Video here, in NDTV (the earthquake movement is not obviously seen but people runs out). Unfortunately, there is no fault plane solution so I can't infer the fault movement. But from seismograph record here I might say that this sub surface fault would be a normal one. For reader, correct me if I'm wrong haha :-).

MODERATE EARTHQUAKE TREMORS FELT ACROSS NEW DELHI,NCR

A MODERATE EARTHQUAKE OF 5.2M ON RICHTER SCALE AS MEASURED BY USGC HAS OCCURRED AT 28.8N,76.7N 48KM WNW OF NEW DELHI

THE DEPTH OF THE EARTHQUAKE IS 19.1KM.

SHAKING WAS WIDELY EXPERIENCED IN NEW DELHI,NCR AND VICINITY HOWEVER PEOPLE FROM LUDHIANA,PUNJAB DIDN'T EXPERIENCE ANY.

MAGNITUDE

5.2
Date-Time
Monday, March 05, 2012 at 07:41:06 UTC
Monday, March 05, 2012 at 01:11:06 PM at epicenter
Location
28.808°N, 76.772°E
Depth
19.1 km (11.9 miles)
Region
HARYANA - DELHI REGION, INDIA
Distances
48 km (30 miles) WNW (296°) from NEW DELHI, Delhi, India
93 km (58 miles) WSW (257°) from Meerut, Uttar Pradesh, India
143 km (89 miles) N (7°) from Alwar, Rajasthan, India
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 16.2 km (10.1 miles); depth +/- 6.7 km (4.2 miles)
Parameters
NST=109, Nph=111, Dmin=970.7 km, Rmss=1.16 sec, Gp= 58°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usb0008bau

IN THE ABOVE IMAGES,
THE RED STAR IS THE EPICENTER OF THE EARTHQUAKE WHICH IS 19.78KM SE OF ROHTAK,HARYANA

IMD HAS REPORTED THE EARTHQUAKE TO BE 4.9 BUT AKG SEISMOLOGY TEAM CONSIDERS THE USGC PARAMETER

IF YOU HAVE ANY VIDEO/PHOTO OF DAMAGE

PLEASE SEND

akshaydeoras@hotmail.com

NO AFTERSHOCK EXPECTED

Radio Blackout affecting Sunlit side of the Earth

In response to the X class flare ( Intensity being estimated) by the Sunspot 1429,A former R3 now R2 Radio Blackout is affecting the sunlit side of the Earth
As seen from this image,the higher frequency signals are being largely attenuated due to the Radio Disturbance as the signals propogate through a disturbed ionosphere..

Mega Solar Flare from Sunspot 1429!!

SEVERE SOLARWX
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF QUIET SPACE WEATHER,OUR SUN IS WAKING UP DUE TO THE SUNSPOT AE 1429. The Sunspot is 4 times the size of the Earth.
The GOES X Ray flux is indicating a major Solar Flare in progress and a R3 Radio Blackout is in progress on the Sunlit side of the earth including here in India at the Higher Frequency

Solar disc is rotating and hence the sunspot 1429 will become geoeffective after some days... If it hurls another X class flare then that may be a source of big problem

Stay tuned as the event unfurls